Problem Set #6
As before, the following exercises come from the "problems" at the end of each
chapter of Taylor's textbook. Note - the extra credit problems cover material
from Problem Set #5 as well as this problem set.
- Taylor, problem 24.2.
- Taylor, problem 24.4.
- Taylor, problem 24.6.
- Taylor, problem 24.8.
- Taylor, problem 24.9.
- Taylor, problem 25.2.
- Taylor, problem 25.4.
- Taylor, problem 25.5.
- Taylor, problem 25.6. For part (b), note that there is an error in the text.
Please assume the current inflation rate is 3%, not 2%.
- Taylor, problem 29.3. To clarify part (b), when it talks about the "world
trading price ratio," I want to know: for what values of the price of
an item of clothing (in terms of bushels of wheat) will each side be willing
to trade? Then, for purposes of illustrating on your diagram, I'd like you
to pick just one price: let's choose 1.5 bushels of wheat per item of clothing.
- Taylor, problem 29.6.
- Taylor, problem 29.7.
- Taylor, problem 29.9.
- Taylor, problem 29.10.
- (10 points) Visit the Federal Reserve's Web page on open-market
operations to change the federal funds rate, and use the information there
to answer the following questions:
- How many times did the Fed change the interest rate in 2000, and what
was the total change in the interest rate over the course of the year?
- How many times did the Fed change the interest rate in 2001, and what
was the total change in the interest rate over the course of the year?
- How many times did the Fed change the interest rate in 2005, and what
was the total change in the interest rate over the course of the year?
- How would you characterize monetary policy in 2000, 2001, and 2005?
(Choose between "expansionary" and "contractionary,"
and describe how strong the tendency is.) Why do you think there are differences
between these years?
- (40 points, plus 10 extra-credit points) For this question, please read
this December 2004 Wall Street Journal
article about consumer spending in Europe.
- (2 points) Over the preceding two years, where had the growth of real
GDP been higher: in the United States, or in the Euro zone? Provide evidence
from the article.
- (3 points) Suppose, as in the “real business cycle” approach
to macroeconomics, that this international difference in GDP growth is
due only to international differences in the growth of potential GDP.
Name the three main determinants of the growth of potential GDP.
- (3 points) Now suppose that at least part of the international difference
in growth rates over the preceding two years was due to gaps between actual
and potential GDP. Which area was more likely to be experiencing a recessionary
gap at the time of the article, the United States or the Euro zone? Explain
your reasoning.
- (2 points) Suppose real GDP in the Euro zone was 3% below potential
GDP at the time of the article. Draw an aggregate-demand diagram illustrating
this situation. Make sure to label your axes.
- (3 points) Suppose part (d) gives an accurate description of the situation
in Europe at the time of the article. Then how would you expect the inflation
rate of the euro to change over the next couple of years? Would it increase,
decrease, or stay the same? Use your diagram to explain your reasoning.
- (2 points) Where do you think the propensity to consume was higher,
in the United States or in the Euro zone? Provide evidence from the article.
- (5 points) Suppose the marginal propensity to consume in Europe was
0.6, and that neither imports nor taxes varied with income. If the European
Union increased government spending on agriculture by $100 billion, what
would have been the total increase in European GDP?
- (5 points) “The article states that Americans currently save
0.8% of their disposable income, so the marginal propensity to consume
must be 99.2%.” Use your knowledge of the difference between average
and marginal quantities to argue why this statement is not correct.
- (2 points) According to the article, what was happening to the exchange
rate between the dollar and the euro? Was the dollar appreciating or depreciating?
Provide evidence from the article.
- (3 points) As the exchange rate changed in (i), would you expect the
result to have a positive or negative effect on European GDP growth? Explain
your reasoning.
- (3 points) The article points to both differences in culture and differences
in economic regulations that favored higher saving rates in Europe than
in the United States. Identify three examples of European regulations
that promote a high savings rate.
- (2 points) According to the article, that July France’s parliament
tried to boost consumer spending (and hence GDP) by enacting a 2-year
tax credit on interest paid on consumer loans. Use the permanent-income
model to argue why we should expect this policy’s multiplier effect
on GDP to be relatively small.
- (3 points) The article points out that retail store hours were restricted
by law in the Euro zone relative to the United States. Argue why removing
this regulation might reduce the average costs in European shops.
- (2 points) Provide examples of someone who wins and someone who loses
by having legal restrictions on store hours. They needn’t be actual
people discussed in the article; you can make up hypothetical examples
if you wish.
- (5 extra-credit points) Do you think it is reasonable to assume that
the factors in (b) can explain the differences in economic growth in Europe
versus the United States? Explain why or why not.
- (5 extra-credit points) Why do you think the exchange rate was changing
this way? Think about possible international differences in the inflation
rate, and about the trade deficit. Provide evidence from the article if
possible.
- (Optional - 10 extra-credit points). Provide two newspaper articles, one
illustrating a fiscal-policy action, and the other illustrating a monetary-policy
action. These newspaper articles may be either current or historical. Describe
what the policy goal is, and whether you think the policy action is consistent
with the goal. Explain your reasoning in one short paragraph for each article.
- (Optional - 15 extra-credit ponts) In this problem, you will use a simple
model to derive the demand for money, and see how this demand varies with
the interest rate. (This model is based on research published by William Baumol
in 1952, and by Nobel Laureate James Tobin in 1956.)
Suppose that at the beginning of each month, an individual receives a wage
payment Y, and spends this amount evenly over the course of the month.
She can earn interest at the rate r per month by holding money in Treasury
bonds. There is a cost of c per transaction for moving between bonds
and money, so if she makes n different cash conversions per month from
her bond holdings, she incurs total transaction costs of nc per month.
The individual wishes to minimize her cost of money management during the
month. Those costs consist of the transaction costs nc, plus the opportunity
cost of interest that could be earned by her money if she had left it in bonds.
If M is the average holdings of cash during the month, then the foregone
interest payments (opportunity cost of holding money) are rM. Our goal
is to derive a formula for M in terms of the monthly salary Y,
the interest rate r, and the transaction cost c.
- Suppose that each time the individual makes a transaction, she transfers
X dollars from bonds into money. Suppose she makes n equal-sized withdrawals
from bonds over the course of each month. Use this fact to write down
a formula for X as a function of the variables Y and n.
- Now we wish to relate the average cash balance M to the number
of transactions n. Recall that we assume that expenditures Y
get spent evenly over the course of the month, so a graph of cash holdings
versus time would start out at the amount X, and decline in a straight
line down to zero until the next withdrawal, at which point the cash balance
would jump back up to X again. Draw a graph with n=3, and
draw a horizontal line indicating the average level M of cash balances.
Write down an equation relating M to X, and then use result
(a) to relate M to Y and n.
- Recall that the individual wishes to minimize her total money-management
costs. Write down her costs, including both transaction costs and foregone
interest costs, as a function of r, Y, c, and n.
- Although n represents a discrete number of transactions, let's
assume for simplicity that it varies continuously, so that we can use
calculus to derive the optimal number n* of transactions. Take
the derivative of total costs with respect to n in order to derive
the optimal value n* as a function of r, Y, and c.
- Now use your results (b) and (e) to derive the individual's demand for
average money balance M. Describe in words how it varies with the
interest rate, the monthly salary, and the transaction cost of converting
bonds into money.
- Remember that n is actually a discrete number of transactions.
There is one transaction guaranteed at the beginning of each month. Suppose
that the individual has Y=$1,800, and r=0.5% per month. How large would
the transaction cost c have to be to discourage the individual
from making a second transaction (i.e., discourage her from holding any
bonds at all)?