37th Annual Meeting
Hyatt-Regency Monterey

February 18-22, 1998

FINAL PROGRAM

9:00 - 11:30 AM, RSAI Council Meeting (Oak Tree 1-2)
Convenors: Kieran DONAGHY, Univ. Illinois, USA and Peter W.J. BATEY, Univ. Liverpool, England
(By Invitation Only)

12:30 PM, WRSA Turnbull Cup Golf Tournament (Old Del Monte Golf Course)
Organizer: Jack W. Sommer, Univ. North Carolina, Charlotte, USA

2:00-6:00 PM, Registration (Regency Foyer)

4:00-6:30 PM, Opening Plenary Session and Welcoming Reception (Regency 2-3)

Wednesday, 4:00-6:30 PM

Opening Plenary Session and Reception
(Regency 2-3)
All Participants, Spouses and Accompanying Persons Welcome!

Chair: Lay James GIBSON, WRSA President-Elect

Opening Address
"Regional Science is Alive and Well in California"
David LYON, President
Public Policy Institute of California
San Francisco, CA, USA

Thursday, February 19, Morning

7:30 AM and throughout the day, Registration
(Regency Foyer)

8:00 or 8:45 AM-12:15 PM
Seven Concurrent Paper Sessions: 1A, 1B, 1C, 1D, 1E, 1F, 1G
(10:15-10:45 AM, Coffee Break)

8:30 AM - 12:00 Noon, NE-162 Business Meeting

Thursday, 8:45 AM-12:15 PM
Paper Session 1A:
Tourism, Amenities, and the West
Chair: Jack C. STABLER, Univ. Saskatchewan, Canada
8:45-9:30
Some Thoughts on the Growth Follows Amenities Doctrine
Jon R. MILLER, Univ. Idaho, USA, and M. Henry ROBISON, Economic Modeling Specialists, Inc., Moscow, ID, USA
Discussant: Roger BOLTON, Williams College, Williamstown, MA, USA
9:30-10:15
Modeling Recreation Decisions and Estimating the Benefits of North Dakota River Recreation
Steven PIPER, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, USA
Discussant: Vernon E. LYNCH, Fort Lewis College, Durango, CO, USA
10:15-10:45, Coffee Break
10:45-11:30
Playing Crocodile Dundee in Australia: Images and Stereotypes: A Study of Backpacker Tourists
Olivia JENKINS, Australian Housing and Urban Research Institute, Reginald G. GOLLEDGE, Univ. California, Santa Barbara, USA,
Robert J. STIMSON, Univ. Queensland, Australia
Discussant: Juliet A. May, Sheridan County Chamber of Commerce, WY, USA
11:30-12:15
Market Segmentation of Wyoming Snowmobilers
Juliet A. MAY, Sheridan County Chamber of Commerce, WY, USA, Chris T. BASTIAN, David T. TAYLOR,
and Glen D. WHIPPLE, Univ. Wyoming, USA
Discussant: Brenda J. MOSCOVE, California State Univ., Bakersfield, USA

Thursday, 8:00 AM-12:15 PM
Paper Session 1B:
ASRDLF/WRSA Joint Session I: Systemes Territoriaux de Production et Innovation
Chair: Denis MAILLAT, Univ. Neuchatel, Switzerland
8:00-8:45
L'Impact Socio-Economique de l'Industrie du Medicament
Antoine BAILLY, Univ. Geneve, Switzerland
Discussant: Sylvette PUISSANT, Univ. Montesquieu Bordeaux IV, France
8:45-9:30
Milieu Innovateur et District Industriel: Quelles Differences en Termes de Polarisation Spatio-Economique?
(Innovator "Mileu" and Industrial District: Two Sorts of Polarized Networks)
Frederic CARLUER, Univ. Paris, France
Discussant: Laurence MOYART, Univ. Catholiques Mons, Belgium
9:30-10:15
Product Services in French Exports P-Y. LEO and Jean PHILIPPE, Univ. Aix-Marseille III, France
Discussant: Angelo ROSSI, ORL Inst., Switzerland
10:15-10:45, Coffee Break
10:45-11:30
"Learning Region" et Systemes de Production
Denis MAILLAT and Leila KEBIR, Univ. Neuchatel, Switzerland
Discussant: Jean-Marie HURIOT, Univ. Bourgogne, France
11:30-12:15
Queueing Problems and Optimal Design of Container Ports
Jean H.P. PAELINCK, Erasmus Univ., The Netherlands
Discussant: Pierre-Philippe COMBES, LEI, France

Thursday, 8:45 AM-12:15 PM
Paper Session 1C:
Conceptual Developments in Metropolitan Planning
Chair: Adrian X. ESPARZA, Univ. Arizona, USA
8:45-9:30
Fast Adjusting Urban Regions, Leadership and Regional Economic Development
Roger R. STOUGH, George Mason Univ., USA and Mark DESANTIS, Texas Instruments, Inc., Washington, DC, USA
Discussant: F. Larry LEISTRITZ, North Dakota State Univ., USA
9:30-10:15
Political Culture in Canada and the United States: Comparing Civic Attitudes in
Major Canadian and American Cities
John C. PIERCE, Univ. Colorado, Colorado Springs, USA, Nicholas P. LOVRICH, Washington State Univ., USA,
and Paul R. HAGNER, Univ. Memphis, USA
Discussant: Lynne DALE, Tavis Consulting, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
10:15-10:45, Coffee Break
10:45-11:30
Korea's Green Belts: Impacts and Options for Change
Chang-Hee Christine BAE, Univ. Washington, USA
Discussant: Adrian X. ESPARZA, Univ. Arizona, USA
11:30-12:15
Regionalism and Representation: Measuring and Assessing Representation in
Metropolitan Planning Organizations
Paul G. LEWIS, Public Policy Inst. of Calif., USA
Discussant: John I. CARRUTHERS, Univ. Arizona, USA

Thursday, 8:00 AM-12:15 PM
Paper Session 1D:
Growth and Change in Regional Systems
Chair: Peter W.J. BATEY, Univ. Liverpool, England
8:00-8:45
From Regional Policy to Regional Strategy: Regional Responses to Economic Decline in Post-War Germany
Conor O'DWYER, Univ. California, Berkeley, USA
Discussant: Thomas C. LOWINGER, Washington State Univ., USA
8:45-9:30
The Distribution of Income in California
Deborah REED, Melissa G. HABER, and Laura MAMEESH, Public Policy Inst. of Calif., USA
Discussant: Richard MORRILL, Univ. Washington, USA
9:30-10:15
Regional Emerging Markets, Volatility Persistence, and the World Market Volatility
Bahram ADRANGI, Univ. Portland, OR, USA
Discussant: Sergio J. REY, San Diego State Univ., USA
10:15-10:45, Coffee Break
10:45-11:30
An Analysis of Population and Employment Growth in the Rocky Mountain West, 1970-1995
Alexander C. VIAS, Univ. Arizona, USA
Discussant: Michael J. GREENWOOD, Univ. Colorado, Boulder, USA
11:30-12:15
National Defense as Regional Development: A Reconsideration of the Tennessee Valley Authority
David A. LEWIS, Rutgers Univ., USA
Discussant: Josh KIRSCHENBAUM, Univ. California, Berkeley, USA

Thursday, 8:00 AM-12:15 PM
Paper Session 1E:
Northern Development/Remote Regions I: The Circumpolar Universities: A Comparative Analysis
Chair: Fae L. KORSMO, National Science Foundation, USA
8:00-8:45
The Development and Regional Impact of the University of Tromso
Peter ARBO and Narve FULSAS, Univ. Tromso, Norway
Discussant: Molly LEE, Univ. Alaska, Fairbanks, USA
8:45-9:30
Universities in Northern Finland
Esko RIEPULA, Univ. Lapland, Finland
Discussant: Barry GOUGH, Wilfrid Laurier Univ., Canada
9:30-10:15
Universities in Northern Sweden
Kjell LUNDMARK, Umea Univ., Sweden
Discussant: Margaret ANDERSON, Univ. N. British Columbia, Canada
10:15-10:45, Coffee Break
10:45-11:30
Universites in Northern Canada
Geoffrey WELLER, Univ. N. British Columbia, Canada
Discussant: Len SILLANPAA, Abo Akademi Univ., Finland
11:30-12:15
The Role of the Circumpolar Universities in Northern Development: A Comparative Analysis
Douglas NORD, Vaxjo Univ., Sweden
Discussant: Terrence COLE, Univ. Alaska, Fairbanks, USA

Thursday, 8:45 AM-12:15 PM
Paper Session 1F:
Regional Modeling
Chair: Chinkook LEE, U.S. Dept. of Agriculture, Washington, DC, USA
8:45-9:30
On the Relative Importance of Regional, Industry, and Aggregate Shocks
Edward M. FEASEL, Public Policy Inst. of Calif., San Francisco, USA
Discussant: Chris D. WEBBER, Univ. West of England
9:30-10:15
NAFTA and the Peso Devaluation: A Model of Cross-Border Trade Interdependence
Arthur L. SILVERS, Univ. Arizona, USA
Discussant: Ricardo C. GAZEL, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, USA
10:15-10:45, Coffee Break
10:45-11:30 Economic Complexity as Network Complication: Multiregional Input-Output Structural Path Analysis
Michael SONIS, Bar-Ilan Univ., Israel, and Geoffrey J.D. HEWINGS, Univ. Illinois, Urbana, USA
Discussant: David KRAYBILL, Ohio State Univ., USA
11:30-12:15 Reconstituting Pseudo-Censored Input-Output Matrices, with Applications to Canadian Data
Donald A. GILCHRIST and Larry V. ST. LOUIS, Univ. Saskatchewan, Canada
Discussant: David W. HOLLAND, Washington State Univ., USA

Thursday, 8:00 AM-12:15 PM
Paper Session 1G:
Perspectives on Regional Transportation Topics
Chair: Alan T. MURRAY, Univ. Queensland Univ., Australia
8:00-8:45
The High Cost of Minimum Parking Requirements: Evidence from In-Lieu Fees
Donald C. SHOUP, Univ. California, Los Angeles, USA
Discussant: Mark HANSEN, Univ. California, Berkeley, USA
8:45-9:30
Does Airline Hubbing Benefit Hub Regions?
Mark HANSEN, Univ. California, Berkeley, USA
Discussant: Tom RALLIS, Tech. Univ. Denmark
9:30-10:15
Barriers in Travel Models
Svante BERGLUND and Lars LUNDQVIST, Royal Inst. of Technology, Sweden
Discussant: T. John KIM, Univ. Illinois, Urbana-Champaign, USA
10:15-10:45, Coffee Break
10:45-11:30
Identifying and Measuring the Impacts of a Major Transport Project: The Channel Tunnel Rail Link
Charlotte NORMAN and Roger VICKERMAN, Univ. Kent, United Kingdom
Discussant: Alan T. MURRAY, Queensland Univ. Tech., Australia
11:30-12:15 Can Demand Management Tame the Automobile in a Metropolitan Region
Spenser HAVLICK, Univ. Colorado, Boulder, USA, and Peter NEWMAN, Murdoch Univ., USA
Discussant: Jimmy X. CHEN, Los Angeles County Metropolitan Transportation Authority, USA

Thursday, 8:30 AM-12:15 PM
NE162 Business Meeting
Convenor: Tom HARRIS, Univ. Nevada, Reno, USA

Thursday, February 19, Afternoon and Evening

12:15-1:30 PM, Lunch (on your own)

1:00 PM and throughout the afternoon, Registration (Regency Foyer)

1:30-5:00 PM Seven Concurrent Paper Sessions: 2A, 2B, 2C, 2D, 2E, 2F, 2G
(3:00-3:30 PM, Coffee Break)

3:30-5:00 PM, WRSA Board Meeting (By Invitation Only)

5:30-7:00 PM, Reception for All Meeting Participants (Hosted by the Public Policy Institute of California)

7:00-8:30 PM, Northern Development/Remote Regions Discussion Session on Research Funding Opportunities

7:00-9:00 PM, The Annals of Regional Science Board Meeting (By Invitation Only)

Thursday, 1:30-5:00 PM
Paper Session 2A:
Regional Change, Regional Impacts
Chair: Richard WOBBEKIND, Univ. Colorado, Boulder, USA
1:30-2:15
LANL Regional Economic Impact I/O Modeling
Christina FILES, Los Alamos National Lab., NM, USA
Discussant: Paul E. POLZIN, Univ. Montana, USA
2:15-3:00
Regionally Distributed Impact of the 1990s Finnish Depression
Jack W. OSMAN, San Francisco State Univ., USA
Discussant: Arthur L. SILVERS, Univ. Arizona, USA
3:00-3:30, Coffee Break
3:30-4:15
The Recovery of Rural Economies from Military Base Closures: Empirical Evidence from Control Group Studies
Andrew M. ISSERMAN, Public Policy Inst. of Calif., USA, Peter L. STENBERG, U.S. Dept. of Agriculture,
and David SORENSON, Augustana College, USA
Discussant: Larry V. ST. LOUIS, Univ. Saskatchewan, Canada
4:15-5:00
Economic Impact of Electric Power Industry Deregulation on the State of Washington
Roger COUPAL, Univ. Wyoming, USA, and David W. HOLLAND, Washington State Univ., USA
Discussant: Geoffrey J.D. HEWINGS, Univ. Illinois, Urbana, USA

Thursday, 1:30-5:00 PM
Paper Session 2B:
Housing and Residential Choice
Chair: Chang-Hee Christine BAE, Univ. Washington, USA
1:30-2:15
Vacancy and Residential Search in an Equilibrium Search Model
Arno J. VAN DER VLIST, Piet RIETVELD, and Peter NIJKAMP, Free University, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Discussant: Edward C. BOYLE, Indiana Univ. of Pennsylvania, USA
2:15-3:00
Changing Urban Spatial Structure and Jobs/Housing Balance: The Case of Los Angeles
Lauren M. SCOTT and Arthur GETIS, San Diego State Univ., USA
Discussant: Harry W. RICHARDSON, Univ. Southern California, USA
3:00-3:30, Coffee Break
3:30-4:15
The Usage and Usefulness of Information Sources in Home Buying and the Presence of the Real Estate Broker:
A Case Study of New Home Buyers
R. Keith SCHWER and Rennae DANESHVARY, Univ. Nevada, Las Vegas, USA
Discussant: Adrian X. ESPARZA, Univ. Arizona, USA
4:15-5:00
Contextual Effects on Tenure Choice for Single- and Multi- Family Housing by Age Group: A Multi-Level Approach
Seong Woo LEE, Univ. Minnesota, USA
Discussant: Belinda I. REYES, Public Policy Inst. of Calif., USA

Thursday, 1:30-5:00 PM
Paper Session 2C:
Identifying New Regional Complexes
Chair: Dawn D. THILMANY, Colorado State Univ., USA
1:30-2:15
The Alberta Capital Region Forum: An Experiment in Regional Cooperation
Lynne DALE, Tavis Consulting, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
Discussant: Vernon E. LYNCH, Fort Lewis College, Durango, CO, USA
2:15-3:00
Review and Critique of the Paraguay-Parana Hidrovia Economic Feasibility Study
Paul C. HUSZAR, Colorado State Univ., Ft. Collins, USA
Discussant: Alexander C. VIAS, Univ. Arizona, USA
3:00-3:30, Coffee Break
3:30-4:15
Emergence of the Second Industrial Belt: California's Manufacturing Growth, 1859-1967
Paul RHODE, Univ. North Carolina, Chapel Hill, USA
Discussant: David K. HOWE, Univ. California, Berkeley, USA
4:15-5:00 Industrial, Regional, or Spatial Clustering
Edward M. BERGMAN, Vienna Univ. Economics and Business, Austria,
and Edward J. FESER, Univ. North Carolina, Chapel Hill, USA
Discussant: Kala S. SRIDHAR, Ohio State Univ., USA

Thursday, 1:30-5:00 PM
Paper Session 2D:
Northern Development/Remote Regions II: Resources and Northern Regional Development
Chair: Geoffrey WELLER, Univ. N. British Columbia, Canada
1:30-2:15
Arctic and Antarctic as a World Region
Michael PRETES, Univ. New Mexico, USA
Discussant: Geoffrey WELLER, Univ. N. British Columbia, Canada
2:15-3:00
Rotten Eggs: The Cultural and Economic History of the Hen's Egg in Frontier Alaska
Terrence COLE, Univ. Alaska, Fairbanks, USA
Discussant: Lee HUSKEY, Univ. Alaska, Anchorage, USA
3:00-3:30, Coffee Break
3:30-4:15
Visions of Western Destiny: MacKenzie, Jefferson, and Lewis and Clark
Barry GOUGH, Wilfrid Laurier Univ., Canada
Discussant: Claus-M. NASKE, Univ. Alaska, Fairbanks, USA
4:15-5:00
Reconsidering Equalization for the Canadian Territories
James M. DEAN, Univ. Manitoba, Canada
Discussant: Matt BERMAN, Univ. Alaska, Anchorage, USA

Thursday, 1:30-5:00 PM
Paper Session 2E:
International Perspectives on Transport Policies
Chair: Borje JOHANSSON, Royal Inst. of Tech., Sweden
1:30-2:15
Regional Development and Public Transport
Alan T. MURRAY, Rex DAVIS, and Robert J. STIMSON, Univ. Queensland, Australia
Discussant: Paul G. LEWIS, Public Policy Inst. of Calif., USA
2:15-3:00
Sustainable Transportation Strategy and Market Planning Approach: The Southern California Experience
Jimmy X. CHEN, Los Angeles County Metropolitan Transportation Authority, USA
Discussant: David LEVINSON, Univ. California, Berkeley, USA
3:00-3:30, Coffee Break
3:30-4:15
Location of Public Transport Networks and Terminals in Denmark 1600-2000
Tom RALLIS, Technical Univ. Denmark
Discussant: Koji SATO, Kanagawa Univ., Japan
4:15-5:00
Transport and the Environment: Swedish Examples of Analysis and Policy Developments
Lars LUNDQVIST, Royal Inst. of Tech., Sweden
Discussant: Youngbin YIM, Univ. California, Berkeley, USA

Thursday, 1:30-5:00 PM
Paper Session 2F:
NE16 2/WRSA Joint Session: The Rural-Urban Interface I
Chair: Tom HARRIS, Univ. Nevada, Reno, USA
1:30-2:15
Linking Policy and Outcomes: A Dynamic Simulation of State Policy and Poverty Incidence
Elizabeth E. DAVIS and Bruce A. WEBER, Oregon State Univ., USA
Discussant: Steve HASTINGS, Univ. Delaware, USA
2:15-3:00
The New Pork Industry in the United States: Where Will the Production Locate
Mark DRABENSTOTT, Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank, USA
Discussant: George MORSE, Univ. Minnesota, USA
3:00-3:30, Coffee Break
3:30-4:15
Manufacturing Employment Growth: Existing Firms and New Establishments
Daniel V. RAINEY and Kevin T. MCNAMARA, Purdue Univ., USA
Discussant: Molly ESPEY, Univ. Nevada, Reno, USA
4:15-5:00
Idaho Cumulative Mandates Study: Financial Conditions in Several of Idaho's Small Cities
Stephen C. COOKE, Univ. Idaho, USA
Discussant: Steve SMITH, Pennsylvania State Univ., USA

Thursday, 1:30 PM-4:15 PM
Paper Session 2G:
Sharing GIS: Issues Standardization
Chair: Raymond J. G. M. FLORAX, Free Univ., The Netherlands
1:30-2:15
Local Government's GIS Sharing: Issues and Prospects
Zorica NEVODIC-BUDIC, Univ. Illinois, Urbana-Champaign, USA,
and Jeffrey K. PINTO, Pennsylvania State Univ., Erie, USA
Discussant: Roger R. STOUGH, George Mason Univ., USA
2:15-3:00
Comparative Evaluation of Metadata for Sharing GIS
T. John KIM, Univ. Illinois, Urbana-Champaign, USA
Discussant: Zorica NEVODIC-BUDIC, Univ. Illinois, Urbana-Champaign, USA
3:00-3:30, Coffee Break
3:30-4:15
Organizational Interoperability: The Role of Digital Libraries in Distributed Knowledge Management
Xavier R. LOPEZ, Univ. California, Berkeley, USA
Discussant: T. John Kim, Univ. Illinois, Urbana-Champaign, USA

Thursday, 3:30-5:00 PM
WRSA Board Meeting
(By Invitation Only)
Convenor: David A. PLANE, Univ. Arizona, USA

Thursday, 5:30-7:00 PM
Reception
(For all Participants)
Hosted by the Public Policy Institute of California

Thursday, 7:00-8:30 PM
Northern Development/Remote Regions Discussion Session
Research Funding Opportunities
Convenor: Fae KORSMO, Director,
Arctic Social Sciences Program,
National Science Foundation, Washington, D.C., USA

Thursday, 7:00-9:00 PM
The Annals of Regional Science Board Meeting
(By Invitation Only)
Convenors:
Mary Ann BOPP, Springer-Verlag, Heidelberg, Germany
Borje JOHANSSON, Royal Inst. Tech., Stockholm, Sweden
T. John KIM, Univ. Illinois, Urbana-Champaign, USA
Roger R. STOUGH, George Mason Univ., USA

Friday, February 20, Morning

7:45 AM and throughout the day, Registration (Regency Foyer)

8:00 or 8:45 AM-12:15 PM
Eight Concurrent Paper Sessions: 3A, 3B, 3C, 3D, 3E, 3F, 3G, 3H
(10:15-10:45 AM, Coffee Break)

Friday, 8:00 AM-12:15 PM
Paper Session 3A:
Impact Assessment and Local Development
Chair: Jerald J. FLETCHER, West Virginia Univ., USA
8:00-8:45
Absolutely, Positively My Last Paper About Economic Base
Paul E. POLZIN, Univ. Montana, USA
Discussant: Gordon F. MULLIGAN, Univ. Arizona, USA
8:45-9:30
Migration Effects of Olympic Siting: A Cross-Sectional Analysis of Host Regions
Travis J. LYBBERT, Utah State Univ., USA, and Dawn D. THILMANY, Colorado State Univ., USA
Discussant: Frank MITTELBACH, Univ. California, Los Angeles, USA
9:30-10:15
Modeling the Local Economy: Issues and Opportunities
Vernon E. LYNCH, Fort Lewis College, Durango, CO, USA
Discussant: Christine FILES, Los Alamos National Lab., NM, USA
10:15-10:45, Coffee Break
10:45-11:30
Casino Gambling and Crime Rates: An Economic Approach
Ricardo C. GAZEL, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, USA, Dan S. RICKMAN, Oklahoma State Univ., USA,
and William N. THOMPSON, Univ. Nevada, Las Vegas, USA
Discussant: Thayne ROBSON, Univ. Utah, USA
11:30-12:15
The Impact of Casino Gambling on Consumer Expenditures: The Case of Charitable Contributions to Public Television
R. Keith SCHWER and Rennae DANESHVARY, Univ. Nevada, Las Vegas, USA
Discussant: Warren GILL, Simon Fraser Univ., B.C., Canada

Friday, 8:00 AM-12:15 PM
Paper Session 3B:
Urban Economic Analysis
Chair: Koichi MERA, Univ. Southern California, USA
8:00-8:45
Regulation and the Cost of Residential Development
Michael I. LUGER, Univ. N. Carolina, Chapel Hill, USA
Discussant: Koichi MERA, Univ. Southern California, USA
8:45-9:30
A Critical Examination of the Concept of Social Capital
Roger BOLTON, Williams College, Williamstown, MA, USA
Discussant: Hans WESTLUND, Swedish Inst. for Regional Res.
9:30-10:15
Determinants of Resource Inputs for Household Yard Production in the U.S.
Andrew DABALEN, Scott R. TEMPLETON, David ZILBERMAN, and Seung Jick YOO, Univ. California, Berkeley, USA
Discussant: Olivia JENKINS, Australian Housing and Urban Research Institute
10:15-10:45, Coffee Break
10:45-11:30
Equilibrium and Optimum of a Transitional Urban Economy: The Case of China
Xiao-Ping ZHENG, Univ. Tsukuba, Japan
Discussant: Eric J. HEIKKILA, Univ. S. California, USA
11:30-12:15
The Valuation of Real Capital: A Random Walk Down Kungsgatan
Tracy M. GORDON and John M. QUIGLEY, Univ. California, Berkeley, USA
Discussant: Seong Woo LEE, Univ. Minnesota, USA

Friday, 8:00 AM-12:15 PM
Paper Session 3C:
Emerging Factors in Regional Change
Chair: Anthony PASCAL, RAND Corp., Santa Monica, CA, USA
8:00-8:45
Economic Development and Environmental Management in America: The Changing Federal/Local Balance
Martin WHITFIELD and Douglas HART, Univ. Reading, England
Discussant: R. Bruce BILLINGS, Univ. Arizona, USA
8:45-9:30
Nonmetropolitan Growth and Planning Revisited
Adrian X. ESPARZA and John I. CARRUTHERS, Univ. Arizona, USA
Discussant: Donald H. MILLER, Univ. Washington, USA
9:30-10:15
Sehkts in the Rhodope: Issues in the Decline and Persistence of a Regional Economy
Robert B. BEGG, Indiana Univ. of Pennsylvania, USA, Jeff STROHL, Mieke MEURS, American Univ., USA,
and John PICKLES, Univ. Kentucky, USA
Discussant: Deborah REED, Public Policy Inst. of Calif., USA
10:15-10:45, Coffee Break
10:45-11:30
Infrastructure Operating Costs and Pricing: A Regional Case Study of the British Columbia Railway
John M. MUNRO, Simon Fraser Univ., Canada
Discussant: Paul C. HUSZAR, Colorado State Univ., Ft. Collins, USA
11:30-12:15
Drivers Toward Privatization: Canada and Its Regions
Allan A. WARRACK, Univ. Alberta, Canada
Discussant: Nancey Green LEIGH, Georgia Tech. Univ., USA

Friday, 8:00 AM - 12:15 PM
Paper Session 3D:
ASRDLF/WRSA Joint Session II: Dynamique Urbaine et Diversite
Chair: Antoine BAILLY, Univ. Geneve, Switzerland
8:00-8:45
La Transformation de l'Espace Economique Bruxelles de 1982 a 1992
Laurence MOYART, Univ. Catholiques de Mons, Belgium
Discussant: Bernard L. WEINSTEIN, Univ. North Texas, USA
8:45-9:30
Les Representations Spatiales de l'Exclusion
Catherine BARON, LEREP, France
Discussant: Pierre FRANKHAUSER, Univ. France-Comte, France
9:30-10:15
Metropolisation et Dynamique Urbaine
Claude LACOUR and Sylvette PUISSANT, Univ. Montesquieu Bordeaux IV, France
Discussant: Niles HANSEN, Univ. Texas, USA
10:15-10:45, Coffee Break
10:45-11:30
La Croissance des Villes et la Diversite: Le Cas du Chomage Urbain de la Suisse
Angelo ROSSI, ORL Inst., Switzerland
Discussant: Frederic CARLUER, Univ. de Paris, France
11:30-12:15
De la Dynamique des Villes au Diagnostique Urbain
Alain SALLEZ, ESSEC - IVTI, France
Discussant: Jean PHILIPPE, Univ. Aix-Marseille III, France

Friday, 8:00 AM-12:15 PM
Paper Session 3E:
Regional and Location Theory
Chair: Bahran ADRANGI, Univ. Portland, OR, USA
8:00-8:45
Immigration Control and the Welfare State
Gordon M. MEYERS, Univ. Waterloo, Canada, and Yorgos Y. PAPAGEORGIOU, McMaster Univ., Canada
Discussant: Tadaaki YOSHIOKA, Kanagawa Univ., Japan
8:45-9:30
Towards Quasi-Dynamics of Tinbergen-Bos Systems: A Progress Report
Jean H.P. PAELINCK and Rajendra G. KULKARNI, George Mason Univ., USA
Discussant: Xiao-Ping ZHENG, Univ. Tsukuba, Japan
9:30-10:15
Specialisation Dynamics in a System of Functional Regions
Ulla M. FORSLUND-J and Borje JOHANSSON, Royal Inst. of Tech., Sweden
Discussant: Peter W.J. BATEY, Univ. Liverpool, England
10:15-10:45, Coffee Break
10:45-11:30
International Transfers and Environmental Quality: A Comparative Statics Analysis
Tadaaki YOSHIOKA, Kanagawa Univ., Japan
Discussant: Kieran P. DONAGHY, Univ. Illinois, Urbana- Champaign, USA
11:30-12:15
Optimal Taxation in a Model with Cournot Oligopoly
Leslie J. REINHORN, Utah State Univ., USA
Discussant: Chiou-Nan YEH, Alabama State Univ., USA

Friday, 8:00 AM-12:15 PM
Paper Session 3F:
Transport Network Analysis
Chair: Roger R. STOUGH, George Mason Univ., USA
8:00-8:45
Analyses and Forecasts of European Transport Flows by Means of Logit and Neurocomputing Models
Peter NIJKAMP, Free Univ., The Netherlands, Aura REGGIANI, Lucia NOBILIO, Univ. di Bologna, Italy,
and Wai Fai TSANG, Free Univ., The Netherlands
Discussant: Kara M. KOCKELMAN, Univ. California, Berkeley, USA
8:45-9:30
Private Toll Roads: A Dynamic Equilibrium Analysis
Andre DE PALMA, Univ. de Cergy Pointoise, France, and Robin LINDSEY, Univ. Alberta, Canada
Discussant: Roger R. STOUGH, George Mason Univ., USA
9:30-10:15
Measuring Space-Time Accessibility Benefits Within Transportation Networks: Basic Theory and Computational Procedures Harvey J. MILLER, Univ. Utah, USA
Discussant: Pontus ABERG, Royal Inst. of Tech., Sweden
10:15-10:45, Coffee Break
10:45-11:30
Equilibrium and Stability in a Multinodal Model with Interaction Inertia and Congestion Costs
Borje JOHANSSON, Royal Inst. of Tech., Sweden, and Hakan PERSSON, Univ. Orebro, Sweden
Discussant: Fahui WANG, Northern Illinois Univ., USA
11:30-12:15
Changes in Traffic's Flow-Density Relation Due to Environmental, Vehicle, and Driver Characteristics
Kara M. KOCKELMAN, Univ. California, Berkeley, USA
Discussant: Donald C. SHOUP, Univ. California, Los Angeles, USA

Friday, 8:45 AM-12:15 PM
Paper Session 3G:
Labor Markets
Chair: Raymond J.G.M. FLORAX, Free Univ., Amsterdam, The Netherlands
8:45-9:30
Labor Market Mobility, Minority Unemployment, and Mismatch Modeling in Chicago
Edward C. BOYLE, Indiana Univ. of Pennsylvania, USA
Discussant: Maureen R. WALLER, Public Policy Inst. of Calif., USA
9:30-10:15
Rigidity and Renewal of the Metropolitan Labour Market
Lars O. PERSSON, Royal Inst. of Technology, Sweden
Discussant: Jack W. OSMAN, San Francisco State Univ., USA
10:15-10:45, Coffee Break
10:45-11:30
Labor Market Institutions and Underemployment: A Cross-Nation Comparison
Jouke van Dijk, Univ. Groningen, The Netherlands, Hendrik FOLMER, Wageningen Ag. Univ., The Netherlands,
Henry W. Herzog, Jr. and Alan M. Schlottmann, Univ. Tennessee, USA
Discussant: Lars O. PERSSON, Royal Inst. of Technology, Sweden
11:30-12:15
Who Will Be Affected by Welfare Reform in California?
Thomas MACURDY and Margaret O'BRIEN-STRAIN, Public Policy Inst. of Calif., USA
Discussant: Dwight M. JAFFEE, Univ. California, Berkeley, USA
 

Friday, 8:45 AM-12:15 PM
Paper Session 3H:
NE162/WRSA Joint Session: The Rural-Urban Interface II
Chair: Dan OTTO, Iowa State Univ., USA
8:45-9:30
The Aging of a Small Rural Region: An Application of the Wisconsin Economic Impact Modeling System
Stephen C. DELLER, Martin SHIELDS, Univ. Wisconsin, Madison, USA, and Judy STALLMAN, Texas A&M Univ., USA Discussant: Warren KRIESEL, Univ. Georgia, USA
9:30-10:15
An Application of New Institutional Economics for Analysis of Surface Water Transfers
Rangesan NARAYANAN, Thomas R. HARRIS, and Thomas R. MACDIARMID, Univ Nevada, Reno, USA
Discussant: David W. HOLLAND, Washington Stae Univ., USA
10:15-10:45, Coffee Break
10:45-11:30
West Virginia Attitudes Towards Economic Development
Scott LOVERIDGE and Beth LOY, West Virginia Univ., USA
Discussant: David BARKLEY, Clemson Univ., USA
11:30-12:15
A Continuous Spatial Labor Market
Thomas G. JOHNSON, Univ. Missouri, USA
Discussant: Stephan J. GOETZ, Univ. Kentucky, USA

Friday, February 20, Afternoon and Evening

12:30-2:00 PM, WRSA Annual Banquet Luncheon
(For All Participants)

2:00 PM and throughout the afternoon, Registration
(Regency Foyer)

2:15 -5:15 PM
Eight Concurrent Paper Sessions: 4A, 4B, 4C, 4D, 4E, 4F, 4G, 4H

5:30 -6:45 PM, President's Reception
(For All Participants)

Friday, 12:30-2:00 PM
WRSA Annual Banquet Luncheon

Jack C. Stabler, WRSA President, Presiding

Presentation Ceremonies:
The Twelth Charles M. Tiebout Prize
Presented by Antoine BAILLY,
Chair, 1997-98 Reading Committee

The Third Annual Springer-Verlag Prize
Presented by Roger R. STOUGH,
Coeditor, The Annals of Regional Science

Presidential Address
"The Institutionalization of Regional Science"
Lay James GIBSON, University of Arizona, USA

Discussant
Anthony H. PASCAL, RAND Corp., Santa Monica, CA, USA

Friday, 2:15-5:15 PM
Paper Session 4A:
Innovative Approaches to Local Development
Chair: Lay James GIBSON, Univ. Arizona, USA
2:15-3:00
Endogenous Regional Development: Lessons from Languedoc-Roussillon and Montpellier
Niles HANSEN, Univ. Texas, Austin, USA
Discussant: Brian P. HOLLY, Kent State Univ., USA
3:00-3:45
The Location of Knowledge-Based Activities: The Case of Computer Software
Rena SIVITANIDOU, Univ. S. California, USA
Discussant: Audrey E. CLARKE, N. Illinois Univ., USA
3:45-4:30
Urban Economic Development in America: Evidence from Enterprise Zones
Kala S. SRIDHAR, Ohio State Univ., USA
Discussant: Marlon G. BOARNET, Univ. California, Irvine, USA
4:30-5:15
Regional Development Funds in North Dakota: Evaluation of a Local Economic Development Initiative
F. Larry LEISTRITZ and Dean A. BANGSUND, North Dakota State Univ., USA
Discussant: Allan A. WARRACK, Univ. Alberta, Canada

Friday, 2:15-5:15 PM
Paper Session 4B:
Measuring Regional Change
Chair: Hans KUIPER, Erasmus Univ., Rotterdam, The Netherlands
2:15-3:00
Spatial Interaction-Costs and Their Potentials for Change:
A General Approach and Its Application on the Case of Mid-Scandinavia
Hans WESTLUND, Swedish Inst. for Regional Research
Discussant: Robert B. BEGG, Indiana Univ. of Pennsylvania, USA
3:00-3:45
The Southern Economy 1980-96: Growth Without Prosperity?
Bernard L. WEINSTEIN and Terry L. CLOWER, Univ. North Texas, USA
Discussant: Robert G. FLETCHER, California State Univ., Bakersfield, USA
3:45-4:30
Urban Economic Development and Smart Infrastructure: Planning, Monitoring and Finance
Lisa CLARK and Michael LINDFIELD, Queensland Univ. of Technology, Australia
Discussant: Ulla M. FORSLUND-J, Jonkoping International Bus. Sch., Sweden
4:30-5:15
Good Corruption - Bad Corruption and Economic Growth: Regional and Cross-Country Comparisons
C. Daniel VENCILL, San Francisco State Univ., USA
Discussant: Mats JOHANSSON, Swedish Inst. for Regional Research

Friday, 2:15-5:15 PM
Paper Session 4C:
Nort hern Development/Remote Regions III: The Economy of the Indigenous North
Chair: Greg J. PROTASEL, Univ. Alaska, Anchorage, USA
2:15-3:00
The Small Nations of the Russian North and Their Rights as Indigenous Peoples
Lennard SILLANPAA, Abo Akademi Univ., Finland
Discussant: Greg J. PROTASEL, Univ. Alaska, USA
3:00-3:45
Weaving Culture: The Contribution of Grass Basketry to the Rural Economy of the Yukon-Kuskokwim Region of Alaska Molly LEE, Univ. Alaska, Fairbanks, USA
Discussant: Esko RIEPULA, Univ. Lapland
3:45-4:30
In and Out: Economic Transactions in a 1945 Potlach
Margaret ANDERSON, Univ. N. British Columbia, Canada
Discussant: Sharman HALEY, Univ. Alaska, Anchorage, USA
4:30-5:15
Hunting, Earning, and Sharing: Allocation of Time, Money, and Goods in Arctic Village Economies
Matt BERMAN, Univ. Alaska, Anchorage, USA
Discussant: Peter GEORGE, McMaster Univ., Canada

Friday, 2:15-5:15 PM
Paper Session 4D:
Water Resources
Chair: Y.H. FAN, National Taiwan Univ.
2:15-3:00
Potential Economic Impact of the Development of Non- Traditional Water Resources by Aquaculture
Marten R. JENKINS, Freshwater Inst., USA, Jerald J. FLETCHER, West Virginia Univ, USA, and Edward M. WADE, Freshwater Inst., USA
Discussant: Steven PIPER, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, Denver
3:00-3:45
State-Space Vs. Multiple Regression for Forecasting Urban Water Demand
R. Bruce BILLINGS, Univ. Arizona, USA, and Donald E. AGTHE, Tucson, AZ, USA
Discussant: Scott R. TEMPLETON, Univ. California, Berkeley, USA
3:45-4:30
Input-Output Impact Study of Proposed Waste Water Treatment in Mexico City
Anabel M. GUZMAN, El Colegio de la Frontera Norte, Tijuana, Mexico,
and Patrick H. BUCKLEY, Western Washington Univ., USA
Discussant: Jon R. MILLER, Univ. Idaho, USA
4:30-5:15
Data Aggregation and Empirical Research on Residential Water Demand
R. Ashley LYMAN and Richard COFFMAN, Univ. Idaho, USA
Discussant: R. Bruce BILLINGS, Univ. Arizona, USA

Friday, 2:15-5:15 PM
Paper Session 4E:
Commuting: Analysis and Issues
Chair: Harvey J. MILLER, Univ. Utah, USA
2:15-3:00
A New Look at America's Commutersheds
Richard MORRILL, Peter NELSON, James PEET, Dmitry SHARKOV, and Xiaohong HOU, Univ. Washington, USA
Discussant: David A. PLANE, Univ. Arizona, USA
3:00-3:45
Telework Center Developments for the Less Mobile Social Groups: Significance for Social Policy
Koji SATO, Kanagawa Univ., Japan
Discussant: Spenser HAVLICK, Univ. Colorado, Boulder, USA
3:45-4:30
Commuting and Location: An Assessment of a Working Trip Model
Pontus ABERG, Royal Inst. of Technology, Sweden
Discussant: Roger VICKERMAN, Univ. Kent, United Kingdom
4:30-5:15
Modeling Commute Patterns in Columbus, Ohio
Fahui WANG, Northern Illinois Univ., USA
Discussant: Harvey J. MILLER, Univ. Utah, USA

Friday, 2:15-5:15 PM
Paper Session 4G:
ASRDLF/WRSA Joint Session III: Urban Economy
Chair: Jean-Marie HURIOT, Univ. Bourgogne, France
2:15-3:00
Economic Geography and Growth
Catherine BAUMONT and Jean-Marie HURIOT, Univ. Bourgogne, France
Discussant: Antoine BAILLY, Univ. Geneve, Switzerland
3:00-3:45
Economic Structure and Local Growth: An Econometric Study on France, 1984-1993
Pierre-Philippe COMBES, Institut National de la Statistiques et des Etudes Economiques, France
Discussant: Claude LACOUR, Univ. Montesquieu Bordeaux IV, France
3:45-4:30
A New Approach for Simulating Urban Pattern Dynamics
Pierre FRANKHAUSER, Didier JOSSELIN, Pascal GILLON, Cecile TANNIER,
and Alexandre MOINE, Univ. France-Comte, France
Discussant: Alain SALLEZ, ESSEC-IVTI, France
4:30-5:15 City, Cities and Information
Rachel GUILLAIN and Jean-Marie HURIOT, Univ. Bourgogne, France
Discussant: Catherine BARON, LEREP, France

Friday, 2:15-5:15 PM
Paper Session 4H:
Foreign Trade and California's Economic Growth
Chair: Cynthia KROLL, Univ. California, Berkeley, USA
2:15-3:00
International Trade and California Employment: Some Statistical Tests
Dwight M. JAFFEE, Univ. California, Berkeley, USA
Discussant: Virginia GARCIA, Fujitsu Research Inst., Japan
3:00-3:45
A Closer Look at the Integration of Trade into California Industry -- Case Studies of
the Computer Cluster and the Food Processing Industry
Cynthia A. KROLL and Josh KIRSCHENBAUM, Univ. California, Berkeley, USA
Discussant: Peter L. STENBERG, U.S. Dept. of Agriculture
3:45-4:30
Employment & Wages in California: The Impact of Globalization on Production and Non-Production Workers
Ashok BARDHAN and David K. HOWE, Univ. California, Berkeley, USA
Discussant: Paul RHODE, Univ. N. Carolina, Chapel Hill, USA
4:30-5:15
Geographic Location, Transnational Immigrant Networks and Transportation Costs:
A Modified Gravity Model of California's Exports
Ashok D. BARDHAN and David HOWE, Univ. California, Berkeley, USA
Discussant: Edward M. BERGMAN, Vienna Univ. of Economics and Business, Austria

Friday, 5:30-6:45 PM

President's Reception
(For All Participants)

Hosted by: Lay James GIBSON,
WRSA President-Elect

Saturday, February 21, Morning

7:45 AM - Noon, Registration (continued)

8:00 or 8:45 AM-12:15 PM
Eight Concurrent Paper Sessions: 5A, 5B, 5C, 5D, 5E, 5F, 5G, 5H
(10:15-10:45 AM, Coffee Break)

Saturday, 8:45 AM-12:15 PM
Paper Session 5A:
Environmental Analysis
Chair: Matthias RUTH, Boston Univ., USA
8:45-9:30
An Assessment of the Development and Use of Sustainability Indicators in the Puget Sound Region of Washington
Donald H. MILLER, Univ. Washington, USA
Discussant: Robert J. STIMSON, Univ. Queensland, Australia
9:30-10:15
The Truth About One-Stop Permitting: A Critical Examination of State Environmental Permit Assistance Programs
Kelly ROBINSON, Rutgers Univ., USA
Discussant: Lawrence SOMMERS, Michigan State Univ., USA
10:15-10:45, Coffee Break
10:45-11:30
Impacts of Energy and Carbon Taxes on the U.S. Pulp and Paper Industry
Matthias RUTH and Brynhildur DAVIDSDOTTIR, Boston Univ., USA
Discussant: Patrick H. BUCKLEY, Western Washington Univ., USA
11:30-12:15
Multilateral Policy Responses to Global Warming: A Differential Game Analysis
Kieran P. DONAGHY and Jaideep MUKHERJEE, Univ. Illinois, Urbana-Champaign, USA
Discussant: Hendrik FOLMER, Wageningen Ag. Univ., The Netherlands

Saturday, 8:45 AM-12:15 PM
Paper Session 5B:
Western States' Economic Outlook
(cosponsored by AUBER)
Chair: Timothy HOGAN, Arizona State Univ., USA
Description:
Updates on economic/demographic trends and forecasts for western U.S. states.
Discussion of factors underlying growth and comparisons of sectoral trends.
All conference participants welcome!
Presenters
Arizona
Marshall VEST, Univ. Arizona, USA
California
Esmael ADIBI, Chapman Univ., Orange, CA, USA
Colorado
Richard WOBBEKIND, Univ. Colorado, Boulder, USA
The Northern Tier States
Paul E. POLZIN, Univ. Montana, USA
10:15-10:45, Coffee Break
Nevada
R. Keith SCHWER, Univ. Nevada, Las Vegas, USA
New Mexico
Brian MCDONALD, Univ. New Mexico, USA
Utah
Thayne ROBSON, Univ. Utah, USA

Saturday, 8:45 AM-12:15 PM
Paper Session 5C:
Life Course Events and Social Issues
Chair: Andrew M. ISSERMAN, Public Policy Inst. of Calif., San Francisco, USA
8:45-9:30
How Long Do Immigrants Stay in the U.S.? A Test of Return Migration Theories
Belinda I. REYES, Public Policy Inst. of Calif., USA
Discussant: Arthur L. SILVERS, Univ. Arizona, USA
9:30-10:15
Social Programs in Source Countries and the Age Composition of U.S. Immigration
Michael J. GREENWOOD, Univ. Colorado, Boulder, USA, and John M. MCDOWELL, Arizona State Univ., USA
Discussant: Raymond J.G.M. FLORAX, Free Univ., Amsterdam, The Netherlands
10:15-10:45, Coffee Break
10:45-11:30
Elderly Population Change in Nonmetropolitan Areas: From the Turnaround to the Rebound
Glenn V. FUGUITT, Richard M. GIBSON, Univ. Wisconsin, Madison, USA, Calvin L. BEALE, U.S. Dept. Agriculture,
and Stephen J. TORDELLA, Decision Demographics, Arlington, VA, USA
Discussant: Joanne SPETZ, Public Policy Inst. of Calif., USA
11:30-12:15
Meanings and Motives in New Family Stories:
The Separation of Reproduction and Marriage Among Low-Income, Black and White Parents
Maureen R. WALLER, Public Policy Inst. of Calif., USA
Discussant: Lars O. PERSSON, Royal Inst. of Tech., Sweden

Saturday, 8:00 AM-12:15 PM
Paper Session 5D:
Regional Impacts of Agricultural-Type Activities
Chair: David T. TAYLOR, Univ. Wyoming, USA
8:00-8:45
U.S. Agricultural Exports: A Balanced Regional Model
Chinkook LEE and Darryl S. WILLS, U.S. Dept. of Agriculture, Washington, DC, USA
Discussant: Philip G. KING, San Francisco State Univ., USA
8:45-9:30
An Econometric Analysis of Yard Care and Synthetic Chemical Use
Scott R. TEMPLETON, Seung Jick YOO, and David ZILBERMAN, Univ. California, Berkeley, USA
Discussant: R. Ashley LYMAN, Univ. Idaho, USA
9:30-10:15
Agriculture and Community Services: The Cases of Canyon and Cassia Counties
Martha HARTMANS and Neil MEYER, Univ. Idaho, USA
Discussant: Douglas HART, Univ. Reading, England
10:15-10:45, Coffee Break
10:45-11:30
Cattle Price Distribution and Implications for Market Structure
Gertrude S. MUWANGA and Donald L. SNYDER, Utah State Univ., USA
Discussant: R. Ashley LYMAN, Univ. Idaho, USA
11:30-12:15
Economic Contributions of Environmental Horticulture in California in the Mid-1990s
Scott R. TEMPLETON, Univ. California, Berkeley, USA, Cheryl BROWN, Southeast Missouri State Univ., USA,
and George GOLDMAN, Univ. California, Berkeley, USA
Discussant: Juliet A. MAY, Sheridan County Chamber of Commerce, WY, USA

Saturday, 8:00 AM-12:15 PM
Paper Session 5E:
Sectoral Influences on Metropolitan Systems
Chair: Brenda J. MOSCOVE, California State Univ., Bakersfield, USA
8:00-8:45
The U.S. Airline Industry: How Are the Low Cost Air Carriers Doing?
Bijan VASIGH, Embry Riddle Aeronautical Univ., Daytona Beach, FL, USA,
and Medhi HARIRIAN, Bloomsburg Univ. of Pennsylvania, USA
Discussant: Brenda J. MOSCOVE, California State Univ., Bakersfield, USA
8:45-9:30
The Growth of the Minneapolis-St. Paul Instrument Industry Cluster
Peter L. STENBERG, U.S. Dept. of Agriculture, USA
Discussant: David A. LEWIS, Rutgers Univ., USA
9:30-10:15
The Impact of Recent Events on Singapore's Retail Shopping Corridor
Brenda J. MOSCOVE, Robert G. FLETCHER, California State Univ., Bakersfield, USA,
and Ken COREY, Michigan State Univ., USA
Discussant: Brian ROBERTS, Queensland Univ. Technology, Australia
10:15-10:45, Coffee Break
10:45-11:30
The Impact of Information Technology on U.S. Metropolitan Areas: Case Studies of
Chicago, New York, San Francisco, and Atlanta
Virginia GARCIA and Kou YUKAWA, Fujitsu Research Inst., Japan
Discussant: Ashok BARDHAN, Univ. California, Berkeley, USA
11:30-12:15
Economic Development for a Bipolar Industry: The Case of
Apparel Manufacturing in San Francisco
Karen CHAPPLE, Univ. California, Berkeley, USA
Discussant: Johannes TRAXLER, Univ. N. Carolina, Chapel Hill, USA

Saturday, 8:00 AM-12:15 PM
Paper Session 5F:
Regional Analysis
Chair: Anil PURI, California State Univ, Fullerton, USA
8:00-8:45
Planning and Spatial Implications of Advanced Machine Tool-driven Restructuring in the U.S. Woodworking Industry
Nancey Green LEIGH, Georgia Tech. Univ., USA
Discussant: Michael TEITZ, Univ. California, Berkeley, USA
8:45-9:30
Expanding Participation in Higher Education: A Geodemographic Analysis of the English Regions
Peter W. J. BATEY, Univ. Liverpool, England, and Mark CORVER, Higher Education Funding Council, Bristol, England
Discussant: Jack W. SOMMER, Univ. North Carolina, Charlotte, USA
9:30-10:15
Dynamic Productivity, Efficiency and Technical Innovation in Education:
A Mathematical Programming Approach Using Data Envelopment Analysis
Kalyan CHAKRABORTY and Sandeep MOHAPATRA, Utah State Univ., USA
Discussant: Michael I. LUGER, Univ. N. Carolina, Chapel Hill, USA
10:15-10:45, Coffee Break
10:45-11:30
The Quest for Knowledge: Universities in a Two-Sector, Two-Region Model of Endogenous Growth
Ola OLSSON, Goteborg Univ., Sweden, and Charlie KARLSSON, Jonkoping Univ., Sweden
Discussant: C. Daniel VENCILL, San Francisco State Univ., USA
11:30-12:15
Regional Economic Diversification and Efficiency Using Baumol's Likely Lower Confidence Limit Measure of Risk
Debra J. HARPER and Larry V. ST. LOUIS, Univ. Saskatchewan, Canada
Discussant: Arthur GETIS, San Diego State Univ., USA

Saturday, 8:00 AM-12:15 PM
Paper Session 5G:
Taxes and Urban Location
Chair: John M. QUIGLEY, Univ. California, Berkeley, USA
8:00-8:45
Tax and Bond Referenda in California and Illinois
Therese J. MCGUIRE, Univ. Illinois, Chicago, USA, and Kim S. RUEBEN, Public Policy Inst. of Calif., USA
Discussant: Beverly BURR, Milken Inst., Santa Monica, CA, USA
8:45-9:30
Overview of the City of Redmond's Cost of Growth Model (CGM):
An Interactive Fiscal Impact Analysis Tool
Anthony P. FUENTES, City of Redmond, USA, Chuck TELLER, Lighten, Inc., Berkeley, USA,
and Walter KIESER, Economic & Plng. Systems, Inc., USA
Discussant: Kim S. RUEBEN, Public Policy Inst. of Calif., USA
9:30-10:15
Analysis of Redevelopment Agencies' Effect on Assessed Value
Michael DARDIA, Public Policy Inst. of Calif., USA
Discussant: L. Michael FARRELL, Univ. Quebec, Trois-Rivieres, Canada
10:15-10:45, Coffee Break
10:45-11:30
Property Taxes and the Relative Price of Renting Residential Property
Andrew NARWOLD, Univ. San Diego, USA
Discussant: Chuck TELLEER, Lighten Inc., Berkeley, CA, USA
11:30-12:15
Firm's Attitude Toward Risk and the Impacts of Business Taxes on Output and Location
Chiou-nan YEH, Alabama State Univ., USA
Discussant: Beverly BURR, Milken Inst., Santa Monica, CA, USA

Saturday, 8:45 AM-12:15 PM
Paper Session 5H:
Urban Transportation
Chair: Lars LUNDQVIST, Royal Inst. of Tech., Sweden
8:45-9:30
Highways and Intrametropolitan Employment Growth: A Spatial Econometric Approach
Marlon G. BOARNET, Univ. Calfornia, Irvine, USA
Discussant: Thomas DE GRAAFF, Free Univ., Amsterdam, The Netherlands
9:30-10:15
Should I Tax or Should I Toll? A Model of Network Financing Over Space
David M. LEVINSON, Univ. California, Berkeley, USA
Discussant: Lars LUNDQVIST, Royal Inst. of Tech., Sweden
10:15-10:45, Coffee Break
10:45-11:30
A Revealed Preference Study of Automated Vehicle and Highway Systems
Youngbin YIM, Univ. California, Berkeley, USA
Discussant: Aura REGGIANI, Univ. Bologna, Italy
11:30-12:15
Modeling the Utility-Maximizing Activity-Participation and Travel-Related Choices of Households
Kara M. KOCKELMAN, Univ. California, Berkeley, USA
Discussant: Robin LINDSEY, Univ. Alberta, Canada

Saturday, February 21, Afternoon

12:15-1:30 PM, Lunch, on your own

1:30 -5:00 PM
Eight Concurrent Paper Sessions: 6A, 6B, 6C, 6D, 6E, 6F, 6G, 6H
(3:00-3:30 PM, Coffee Break)

Saturday, 1:30-4:15 PM
Paper Session 6A:
Environmental Quality and Non-Market Goods
Chair: Lawrence SOMMERS, Michigan State Univ., USA
1:30-2:15
Indicators of Environmental Performance: Lessons from the Environmental Kuznets Curve
Marina ALBERTI, Univ. Washington, USA, and David F. LAYTON, Univ. California, Davis, USA
Discussant: Anil PURI, California State Univ, Fullerton, USA
2:15-3:00
Measuring Socioeconomic Implications of Changes in Environmental Quality
Timothy M. COHEN, Sandia National Labs., USA
Discussant: Anabel M. GUZMAN, El Colegio de la Frontera Norte, Tijuana, Mexico
3:00-3:30, Coffee Break
3:30-4:15
Farmland Preservation and Ecological Footprints: A Critique
Peter GORDON and Harry W. RICHARDSON, Univ. S. California, USA
Discussant: Kelly ROBINSON, Rutgers Univ., USA

Saturday, 1:30-4:15 PM
Paper Session 6B:
Transitional Systems in Eastern Europe
Chair: Jack W. OSMAN, San Francisco State Univ., USA
1:30-2:15
Integration, Flows, and Networking in the Baltic Rim During Fast Economic Transformation
Mats JOHANSSON, Swedish Inst. for Reg. Res.
Discussant: Jack W. OSMAN, San Francisco State Univ., USA
2:15-3:00
Economic Reforms and Restructuring in Eastern Europe: Their Implications for Regional Integration and Trade
Thomas C. LOWINGER, Mudziviri NZIRAMASANGA, Washington State Univ., USA,
and Anil K. LAL, Pittsburg State Univ., USA
Discussant: Borje JOHANSSON, Royal Inst. of Tech., Sweden
3:00-3:30, Coffee Break
3:30-4:15
Eastern Europe and European Cohesion
Ermelinda LOPES, Univ. Minho, Portugal
Discussant: Conor O'DWYER, Univ. California, Berkeley, USA

Saturday, 1:30-5:00 PM
Paper Session 6C:
Service Sector Issues
Chair: Geoffrey J.D. HEWINGS, Univ. Illinois, USA
1:30-2:15
The Location of the Service Sector: A Case Study in The Netherlands
Hans KUIPER, Erasmus Univ., Rotterdam, The Netherlands
Discussant: Charlie KARLSSON, Jonkoping Univ., Sweden
2:15-3:00
Regional Change in Computer Services in the U.S.
Brian P. HOLLY, Kent State Univ., USA, and Audrey E. CLARKE, Northern Illinois Univ., USA
Discussant: Rena SIVITANIDOU, Univ. S. California, USA
3:00-3:30, Coffee Break
3:30-4:15
The Application of Porter's Diamond Model to Evaluate the Competitiveness of
Tradeable Services in a Regional Economy:
A Case Study of Tropical North Queensland, Australia
Maurice DALY, Daly Research Systems, Australia,
and Brian ROBERTS, Queensland Univ. Technology, Australia
Discussant: Jack C. STABLER, Univ. Saskatchewan, Canada
4:15-5:00
Information Technologies, Industrial Location and Geographic Markets:
A Theoretical Discussion
Johannes TRAXLER, Univ. N. Carolina, Chapel Hill, USA
Discussant: Cynthia KROLL, Univ. California, Berkeley, USA

Saturday, 1:30-4:15 PM
Paper Session 6D:
Spatial Modeling
Chair: Arthur L. GETIS, San Diego State Univ. USA
1:30-2:15
GIS is Dead; Long Live GIS!
Eric J. HEIKKILA, Univ. S. California, USA
Discussant: T. John KIM, Univ. Illinois, Urbana, USA
2:15-3:00
An Experimental Assessment of Diagnostic Tools for Nonlinearity in Spatial Process Models
Raymond J.G.M. FLORAX, Thomas DE GRAAFF, Cees A.G.M. VAN MONTFORT,
and Peter NIJKAMP, Free Univ., The Netherlands
Discussant: Arthur L. GETIS, San Diego State Univ. USA
3:00-3:30, Coffee Break
3:30-4:15
Non-Metric Conceptual Clustering: A New Tool for Investigating Urban Quality of Life
Patrick H. BUCKLEY and Debnath MOOKERJEE, Western Washington Univ., USA
Discussant: R. Keith SCHWER, Univ. Nevada, Las Vegas, USA

Saturday, 1:30-5:00 PM
Paper Session 6E:
Fiscal Realities and Regional Strategies
Chair: Beverly BURR, Milkin Institute, Santa Monica, CA, USA
1:30-2:15
Interregional Allocation of Public Resources: Toward Fiscal Federalism in Japan
Nobuo AKAI, Kobe Inst. Commerce, Japan
Discussant: Wei-Te HSIEH, California State Univ, Los Angeles, USA
2:15-3:00
An Economic Analysis of Coastal Resources on the Majuro Atoll
Philip G. KING, San Francisco State Univ., USA
Discussant: Edward M. FEASAL, Public Policy Inst. of Calif., USA
3:00-3:30, Coffee Break
3:30-4:15
Fiscal Structure and Regional Economic Parity
Wei-Te E. HSIEH, California State Univ., Los Angeles, USA
Discussant: Michael DARDIA, Public Policy Inst. of Calif., USA
4:15-5:00
The Impact of Managed Care and Market Technology on the Adoption of Neonatal Intensive Care Units
Joanne SPETZ, Public Policy Inst. of Calif., USA, and Lawrence BAKER, Stanford Univ.
Discussant: Timothy HOGAN, Arizona State Univ., USA

Saturday, 1:30-4:15 PM
Paper Session 6F:
Taxation, Finance, and Property Markets
Chair: Kalyan CHAKRABORTY, Utah State Univ., USA
1:30-2:15
An Exploratory Analysis of the Regional Distribution of Taxable Business Income in Canada
L. Michael FARRELL, Univ. du Quebec, Trois-Rivieres, Canada
Discussant: Larry V. ST. LOUIS, Univ. Saskatchewan, Canada
2:15-3:00
Do Tax Limits "Level Down" Teacher Quality?
David N. FIGLIO, Univ. Oregon, USA, and Kim S. RUEBEN, Public Policy Inst. of Calif., USA
Discussant: Andrew NARWOLD, Univ. San Diego, USA
3:00-3:30, Coffee Break
3:30-4:15
Evolving Property Markets in East Asia: An Overview
Eric J. HEIKKILA and Koichi MERA, Univ. Southern California, USA, and Woo-Suh PARK, Yonsei Univ., Korea
Discussant: Margaret O'BRIEN-STRAIN, Public Policy Institute of California

Saturday, 1:30- 5:00 PM
Paper Session 6G:
Northern Development/Remote Regions IV: Government and the Northern Economy
Chair: Peter GEORGE, McMaster Univ., Canada
1:30-2:15
Impacts of Development on Arctic Communities, Scenarios for Oil and Gas, Road Access and Tourism
Sharman HALEY, Univ. Alaska, Anchorage, USA
Discussant: Peter GEORGE, McMaster Univ., Canada
2:15-3:00
The Development of Local Self-Government in Russia: The Experience of the Union of Russian Cities
and the Association of Siberian and Far Eastern Cities
Greg J. PROTASEL, Univ. Alaska, Anchorage, USA
Discussant: Kjell LUNDMARK, Umea Univ., Sweden
3:00-3:30, Coffee Break
3:30-4:15
Leaving Home: Transfers, Public Goods and Migration from Arctic Villages
Lee HUSKEY, Univ. Alaska, Anchorage, USA
Discussant: Michael PRETES, Univ. New Mexico, USA
4:15-5:00
The Federal Role in the Development of Alaska
Claus-M. NASKE, Univ. Alaska, Fairbanks, USA
Discussant: Douglas NORD, Vaxjo Univ., Sweden

Saturday, 3:30-5:00 PM
Session 6H:
The Paradox of Planning
Chair: Jack SOMMER, Univ. N. Carolina, Charlotte, USA

Panelists
Robert FORMAINI, Dallas Federal Reserve Bank, USA
Sam STALEY, Buckeye Institute for Public Policy Research, Dayton, OH, USA
Michael STROUP, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, USA

Saturday, 5:00 PM, Close of Conference

(Note: No formal conference activities scheduled on Sunday, February 22)